Plane Conversations

There is a war brewing within the online travel agency space over Google’s recent move with Google Flights and Google Hotels.

Google began positioning its new flight-finding feature at the top of general search results for airline booking information earlier this month. And its new competitors in the $110 billion online travel industry aren’t happy about the search giant crashing the party, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report.

Chasing The Market To The Bottom

Travel is hot for 2012 and beyond.  An increasing number of people say they’ll do more leisure traveling in the coming year, and even more say they’ll fly if they can find good deals in 2012. Good deals are going to be hard to find. The airlines attempted to raise prices 22 times in 2011 (and nine of those attempts were successful).

Business travel spend is expected to have grown 6.9% in 2011 compared to 2010, hitting $250.2 billion.  The forecast for 2012 is 4.3% growth in business travel spend for 2012 (or $260.9 billion).

While revenue growth in the travel sector looks promising the user experience continues to decline. Flying today is like traveling by bus with few frills and even fewer fun times.  Consider some of the recent headlines:

1. Airline Technology Leading to Customer Alienation
2. Airlines Score Lowest In Customer Satisfaction
3. 92% of Executive Unhappy With Business Travel Experiences
4. Airline Delays, Cancellations and Complaints Rise

I could go on with an endless list but by now the picture should be obvious. Current market dynamics within air travel services is propelling a race to the bottom and Google knows this.  In other words air travel suppliers have boxed themselves into competing on price and thus air travel services have become a commodity. The meaning of the term commodity is used to describe a service for which there is demand, but which is supplied without qualitative differentiation across a market.

Google knows that search has the greatest influence over consumer choices for travel services. 93% of people who seek information on travel services use search. Consumers seek ratings and reviews, news articles, word of mouth and blog post which in the end influences their decisions. When there is little differential in a market then price becomes the initial decision factor followed by “social influences”, i.e. quality of the experience.

As a result, the present online travel bazaar is very competitive and the margins are shrinking . The  tight competition led the market to compete on price rather than experience. Google recognizes this and simply stepped in and made the shopping experience better. Google doesn’t care about the price of air service they care about providing the price to consumers seamlessly.

As fortunes are made by leveraging technology to become ever more efficient, there is yet far greater wealth to be had by unleashing the discovery of new experiences and creation of new opportunities. That is exactly why we created Social Flights. We are changing the direction of the race to the top.

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Airlines are taking a beating from on-line conversations.

In yesterday’s article titled “Four Strategic Social Experiences” we illustrated, using a word cloud, what a consumer might find if they were searching for shared experiences about a particular airline. Not good.

A new report from PhoCusWright finds that “Flyers are essentially giving airlines a grade of C+, which is barely above satisfactory,” said Carroll Rheem, director of research for PhoCusWright. “But even more concerning for airlines is that their most valuable customers — business travelers and those with higher annual household incomes — are even less happy than the average.” Airlines are stuck in a spiral to the bottom.  They all compete on price and subsequently as margins get squeezed so does service.

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The beginning of online travel created new business models that changed the dynamics and relationships with buyers.  Now with the advent of social technology the dynamics are changing again.

instead of the traditional travel site being the brand the brand has become the traveler.

As a result, the present online travel bazaar has become a race to become more social. Technology and savvy buyers have dramatically changed online travel over the past two years. The app market, for instance, has swelled from virtually nothing to billions of dollars in just a few years, and smartphone owners love their access to a gaggle of Wi-Fi finders, flight status updaters, local restaurant finders, budget booking assistants, translators and more.

Websites offering unique travel-oriented services have made a strong showing, too. They include Wanderfly, a personalized travel recommendation travel engine à la Hunch and Pandora; and GTrot, a site that allows travelers to share their itineraries with friends and get travel advice within their networks.

Applications like these will continue to grow, improving the efficiency of the overall industry by improving the connectivity of air travel information between flights and friends.

Chasing the Lowest Common Denominator

While on-line applications enable travelers to connect and collaborate, few if any do anything to improve the travel experience. Commercial airline travel experiences are abysmal and getting worse. While the efficiency of commercial air travel for consumers and businesses has diminished could there be a better alternative emerging?

Social technology will not enhance the value of on-line travel sites enough to improve pricing.  Social technology has become a “must be” rather than a differentiator and it, by itself, doesn’t change the lowest common denominator, price.  Finding “best” prices has become easy given the power of search and the recent introduction of Google Flights.  Finding the best experience and the highest value has become difficult but may change soon.

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An airplane moves people and connects them with other people and things.

The internet connects people and moves things.

Airplane operators know that using aircraft can be an expensive proposition. Use of the internet is free. If you combined something expensive with something free what happens?

Do Private Jet Operators Understand The Implications?

There has been a saying in the private jet business: If you have to ask the price, you can’t afford it. People who use private jets generally haven’t hunted for the best prices because it’s a status thing. These two statements used to be foundational truths in the private aviation business. But things are changing.

There are a finite number of wealthy people and/or corporations who desire to own or use a private jet regardless of the cost. Most charter operators have chased all the wealthy people for a sale so operators end up chasing the same customer over and over. Even the wealthy are feeling the economic pitch and shareholders are questioning the cost of and need for private aircraft.  Now charter operators are being pressured to justify and lower their cost. Cost has become transparent thanks to the internet.  Yet most operators do not fully understand the implications of transparency and social technology on old business models and methods.

What Are The Implications?

Business travelers and affluent individuals are becoming disenchanted with commercial flights, crowded airports, flight delays, and inconvenient schedules. These travelers are looking for alternatives to save time and reduce the hassles of commercial air travel. So they go to the internet to examine private aviation alternatives. What do they find and see?  At most, Web.1.0!

When you do a search for “private jets” or “private aviation” what comes up on the first page are listings of jet brokers (those that don’t operate or own any jets). You also see lots of references to “cost per hour, fractional jets and a host of other terms that are foreign to buyers”.

So let’s say someone decides to click on any of the links. They end up on a static web page with pretty pictures of expensive jets and self- proclaimed accolades of how great this company is then an 800 number to call for a quote.

So if someone looking for an alternative to commercial air travel hasn’t already lost interest in their search then the next step is to actually make a call. Then someone answers the call and begins asking questions to the caller of which the caller has no idea what they are talking about. Not wanting to sound stupid the caller fakes their way through the dialog expecting to get a quote at the end of the call. Instead the broker/operator says “can I have your email or number so I can get back to you?”

If the buyer agrees it then takes the broker/operator at least half a dozen phone calls, faxes, or emails, before you can get a charter estimate which may or may not be correct. Then the operator/broker emails you the quote of which has so many disclaimers and its format doesn’t make any sense to the buyer. All this, and you have not boarded the plane yet.   Besides that all he buyer wanted to know is what is my seat cost and what I get for it.

By now operators are reading this saying “You don’t understand our business model, we don’t sell seats we sell jets”.  To which I would say “I know but every jet has a certain number of seats and the total cost is represented by a cost per seat, full or not.”

Broken Business Models

According to a Forrester’s recent report, there are about 53.8 Million socially engaged eBusiness travelers in the United States alone. A new market opportunity for private aviation. It’s all about the passenger – they have the money.

Certainly not all 53.8 million business travelers would consider private aviation as an alternative travel option. But let’s say 1% would which means 53,000 potentially new customers.

The private aviation industry couldn’t imagine having 53 thousand new customers because their mindsets are frozen in old business models and expensive archaic operating processes.  Today’s charter revenues barely cover the aircraft management and operational costs, and almost never reach levels necessary to cover an aircraft’s cost of ownership. At the same time in the charter world an aircraft flies empty 40% to 60% of the time.  What a waste!

It is time for a revolution in innovative private aviation business models if the industry wants to capture the significant growth opportunity fueled by demand from disgruntled business travelers looking for viable alternatives.

Old mindsets are saying “You don’t understand how we operate”. My response is “You don’t understand how to change the way you operate”.

-Ralph Waldo Emerson “Who you are speaks so loudly I can’t hear what you‘re saying.”

Stay tuned for “What Would Jet 3.0 Look Like?”

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When commercial airlines do not optimize seat sales they loose money. Historically airlines have looked for “lanes” that have high demand thus insuring increased sales of seat capacity. Now they are using social media to fill seats.

Some airlines say that social-media outlets, such as Twitter and Facebook, are beginning to disrupt the traditional sales cycle. Some airlines are sending sales out directly to customers at all hours, making pricing far less predictable each day.

Social-media sales of  airline seats has just begun and it will change the way airlines have traditionally sold seats. After all empty seats represent leaving revenue in the air.

What About Private Jet Charters?

Private jet charter operators seek buyers who will pay for the entire plane regardless of how many seats are full. Those who charter jets pay the round trip cost of a jet whether they use it round trip or not.  The process creates what is known as “empty legs”. Empty legs are usually one way trips flying empty and yet already paid for by somebody.  Most Private operators try and sell the empty leg at full charter prices and thus few ever sell an empty leg.  Empty legs represent seats unused leaving revenue in the air.

A recent New York Times Article titled “Fly a Private Jet at Public Prices” states “The dirty little secret of the industry is, about a third of our flights are empty,” said Alex Wilcox, chief executive of JetSuite, based in Southern California, which recently began posting last-minute $499 deals on Facebook for empty legs on the company’s four-passenger Embraer Phenom aircraft. “Say a Gulfstream pulls into San Francisco and is going back to Vegas empty,” he said. “A few years ago, if you were to say, ‘if I give you $500 will you take me and my family?’ you would get laughed at.” But the recession changed such attitudes, Mr. Wilcox said. Now, he said, more companies are saying, “Sure, it’ll help pay for the gas.”

Revenue Is Revenue to Some

Allen Howell, CEO of Corporate Flight Management, looks at empty legs as an opportunity to expand his market of consumers and gain incremental revenue. Allen Howell says ” If I have a plane flying empty from one city to another I am a fool if I don’t open the seats on that leg to paying customers.”  ”Think about it, the value we create by selling the seats on empty legs is five fold:”

1. We increase the potential of building relations with future charter prospects
2. We provide consumers with an experience that exceeds all expectations
3. We create incremental revenue streams that go right to bottom line profits
4. We increase and expand our circles of influence by leveraging the power of social media
5. We begin to create repeat customers that are common to travel circles we service

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Alfie Kohn, author of  No Contest:The Case Against Competition writes:

Noncooperative approaches . . . almost always involve duplication of effort, since someone working independently must spend time and skills on problems that already have been encountered and overcome by someone else.

Sound familiar?  Look around and in almost every industry you see competitors beating each other into the ground while reducing the end value to the customer and increasing cost.

Julie Browser, of IBM writes “The traditional concept of business as a “winner takes all” contest is giving way to a realization that in the networked economy, companies must both co-operate and compete. Termed “co-opetition,” this new perspective requires companies to create business strategies that capitalize on relationships in order to create maximum value in the marketplace.

“Co-opetition”– a model in which a network of stakeholders co-operate and compete to create maximum value — is one of the most important business perspectives of recent years. Internet and mobile technologies have made it even more necessary for companies to both co-operate and compete, by enabling relationships through information sharing as well as integrating and streamlining processes.

In today’s networked economy, co-opetition is a powerful means of identifying new market opportunities and developing business strategy.

Take the private aviation industry.  Everyday thousands of private jets fly empty. Those who charter jets pay the round trip cost of a jet whether they use it round trip or not.  The process creates what is known as “empty legs”. Empty legs are usually one way trips flying empty and yet already paid for by somebody.  Most Private operators try and sell the empty leg at full charter prices and thus few ever sell an empty leg.  Empty legs represent seats unused leaving revenue in the air.

What if these private jet operators shared all their empty legs with the public and sold seats on those legs?  By cooperating they would expand their markets, create value for consumers and generate more revenue.  But many won’t do that because they view themselves as competing with each other rather than cooperating.  In the meantime revenue is lost to the air. In this case they end up doing less alone rather than more together.

Business is both competition and co-operation

In the past, people saw business as a “winner takes all” or “zero-sum” game. The networked economy moves away from these purely competitive plays to recognize cooperative relationships that leverage value created by those in the network. Competition — the other aspect of co-opetition — occurs after businesses have created new value in the market and expand the value proposition through quality and creativity.

Social Flights business model is about creating cooperation with private jet operators with the aim of expanding the market and creating new value for all parties involved. For it to work the suppliers must cooperate in order to gain increased market share through new value offered to travelers who in turn create new revenue.

So, will you consider cooperating?

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Recently I was talking with a friend about business flying.  He is not in business nor is he a pilot.  But he had trouble getting around the notion that business aircraft are all about excessive luxury for the super-wealthy.  I commented that there might be some merit to his claim if the majority of business aircraft owners were all super wealthy individuals.  But they aren’t.  This opinion also belies a scarcity mentality that assumes if someone “has” then it is because they have taken it from someone who, as a result, “has not”.  Funny, but we forget that the vast majority of the world lives on less than 2$ per day and considers anyone who has an automobile to be “rich”.  Perspective and assumptions are often overlooked in these discussions.   Personally,  I reject the idea of a closed economic system and the resulting scarcity mentality that accompanies it.  But, alas, I digress.

Yes there are aircraft owned by the super-wealthy who utilize them mainly for pleasure.  But that is the exception (as well as their prerogative, by the way.)  However, according to a 2009 study from the National Business Aviation Association (NBAA) small businesses own the majority of business aircraft.  Less than 1 in 4 passengers on business planes are top level leadership.  More often, 70% of the time, business aircraft are used to transport mid-level mangers, sales, support and technical staff. 1  The image of the aircraft being utilized only by the CEO or COO as a luxury is simply not factual.

The practical uses of business aircraft are many.  You can more efficiently fly into airports not serviced by the airlines and reduce the expense of hotel stays and car rental.  Employees can work during the flight and not waste precious time standing in line at security or waiting for standby flights because their original flight was cancelled.  Those travelling on business aircraft said that they felt 20% more productive on the plane than in the office and felt that on the airlines they were at least 40% less effective.2

The larger businesses that operated corporate aircraft are reguarly among the most profitable (which means, in turn, they are able to hire and employ) and respected in our country.  NEXA Advisors, LLC, conducted a study to see if business aircraft ownership actually had a correlative effect on the health of the business operating the aircraft.  In short, yes, it did.  It made a solid positive difference in these companies.  The report’s conclusion was, “Business airplane users continue to outperform nonusers in terms of revenue growth, profit growth, and asset efficiency.” 3

Moreover, what is lost in the grandstanding on Capitol Hill and the media’s constant badgering of Business Aviation is how much business aviation contributes to our economy and to the success of companies that employ tens of thousands. Aviation and it’s related businesses directly employ more than 1.2 million people and infuse $150 billion into the economy.  Aviation is a signficant contributor to our nation’s health.4

The businesses operating their own aircraft were to be found on lists such as : Business Week’s 50 Most Innovative Companies, Fortune’s 50 Most Admired Companies, Business Week’s 25 Best Customer Service Companies, Fortune’s 50 World’s Most Admired Companies, and Corporate Responsibility Magazine’s 100 Best Corporate Citizens.5  Again, the caricature of the business jet operator is found to be just that -a caricature that does not accurately represent reality.

Without a doubt business aircraft have a degree of luxury about them.  And why not?  Do you chastise someone for having leather seats in their car?  An .mp3 player?  Satellite radio?  GPS?  But those things are pretty standard these days in our cars.  Perhaps one of the major issues is that business aviation stands in stark contrast to the miserable state of the commercial airline experience that we all know only too well.  If you had the choice of driving in a 76 Plymouth or a 2011 MKZ, would you really have to think long about the choice? (And for the record I drive a decade-old Ford Taurus with 140,000+ miles)  If it’s your car or boat or plane, why not make it comfortable and functional?  But at the end of the day, that’s not the point as my friend’s faulty assumptions illustrate.

Most businesses don’t operate aircraft because they simply like the luxury.  They operate them because they make practical and financial sense.  They don’t buy an aircraft so they can look cool and yet lose money.  No, they have learned that business aviation can make good business sense.  And the business aviation industry stands ready to be an integral part of the equation to help individuals and business achieve the success that, in the end, makes us all stronger.

1.  Real World Business Aviation 2009, page 5 (http://www.nbaa.org/business-aviation/Real-World-of-Business-Aviation-2009.pdf)
2. IBID, page 6
3.  The Bizav Advantage: The case for bizav, in dollars and cents Robert P. Mark, Business Jet Traveler, Oct 1, 2010
4. Aviation Week, Kansans Demand Obama End BizAv Rhetoric, July 22, 2011
5. IBID, Mark

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This is my son, Robby. (He’s number three of four, and yes, I am extremely blessed.) He’s five, and he’s going to start kindergarten this year.

This picture was taken in the back of my dad’s Beech Baron 55. From time to time, I’ve also let him sit at the controls of a KC-135, C-17, King Air (C-12), T-38, F-16, and many others.

Robby looks at airplanes with awe and wonder.  When one flies over, he looks up and stares at it. Then he will look at me seriously and tell me it’s Southwest–even if it’s a Cessna Skyhawk–because he is trying to act like his big brother Blake (who can identify Southwest).

When Robby is flying in an airplane, he looks down at the world below–everything is so small, yet the world is so much bigger–and he is amazed.

I love to share the wonder of aviation, the joy of flying, with Robby, with each of my children.  In turn, they love to hear stories of the superhuman feats that I’ve accomplished in airplanes: Setting a world record by dropping seventy two thousand pounds of NASA solid rocket booster out the back of a C-17 or pulling 6g’s or going straight up in an F-16 at Mach 1.3.  (That’s really fast in case you were counting.) Or doing a spin in a T-6A Texan II. Or flying in formation with six other transports–that’s over two million pounds of cargo carrying airplanes–and doing a tactical descent at 20,000 feet per minute. (Okay, it was slightly less than 20,000 fpm, because that descent rate is the max limit.)  Or the story about how I greased it on the runway at the end of a twenty six hour day–from Sydney to Honolulu to Detroit–a landing so soft that the baby in the back didn’t even wake after fighting a twenty knot crosswind all the way down the ILS.

You and I know that these are the kinds of things that pilots of all kinds do every day. That doesn’t matter. To Robby, to the unfamiliar, flying is magic.

Robby doesn’t understand the “flight or fight” or “no plane no gain” slogans. He doesn’t understand the bottom line or return on investment or profitability.  (Incidentally, I like flying and aviation and those videos put me to sleep.)

He does understand superheroes.  That’s why Cessna’s poster series was genius.  

We need stories, not stats. We want to be inspired, not lectured.  You won’t convince anyone with balance sheets or P&L statements.  

But if we can tell a story…

Like that baby in the back that slept through the best landing ever. It was a medevac mission.  Mom and Dad may not remember what kind of plane it was or know how much it cost. But they know how it changed their lives when they saw the pediatric heart specialist the next day.

And that executive who was worried about the bottom line when he hopped in the Learjet early that day is probably thinking more about eating dinner with his wife and kids than his discouragement over not getting the big deal.

Or that factory in Alabama and the forty people who get to work tonight, earn a paycheck, because the supplier flew the part in on the company Bonanza.  

The lives we touch–the countless multitudes of people who haven’t flown on and don’t fly and will never fly in a business jet or an experimental aircraft or even an SR22–when we touch their lives, that’s what makes us superheroes.

If we can tell those stories about the people whose lives aviation changes…then aviation will change lives.

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